SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Dinamo Brest win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
53.54% ( 0.37) | 24.13% ( -0.06) | 22.32% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.33% ( -0.07) | 49.66% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.31% ( -0.06) | 71.68% ( 0.05) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% ( 0.11) | 18.47% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.32% ( 0.2) | 49.68% ( -0.2) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.17% ( -0.33) | 36.82% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.38% ( -0.33) | 73.61% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.53% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.32% |
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