SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Naftan win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Smorgon |
35.83% ( -0.67) | 24.69% ( -0.19) | 39.47% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 58.77% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.69% ( 0.82) | 44.31% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( 0.79) | 66.68% ( -0.79) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% ( 0.01) | 24.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.34% ( 0.02) | 58.65% ( -0.02) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( 0.8) | 22.38% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( 1.18) | 55.88% ( -1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Smorgon |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.97% Total : 35.83% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.47% |
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