SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Naftan win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belshina | Draw | Naftan |
39.35% ( 0.01) | 25.04% ( 0) | 35.61% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.5% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.06% ( -0.01) | 45.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% ( -0.01) | 68.25% ( 0.01) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% | 23.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( 0) | 57.04% ( -0) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( -0.01) | 25.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( -0.01) | 59.89% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belshina | Draw | Naftan |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.35% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.61% |
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