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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
21.6% ( -0.1) | 26.86% | 51.54% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 43.06% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.67% ( -0.08) | 60.33% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.51% ( -0.06) | 80.49% ( 0.06) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.38% ( -0.16) | 43.62% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.19% ( -0.13) | 79.81% ( 0.13) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( 0.01) | 23.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% ( 0.02) | 57.71% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.6% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 14.86% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 10.72% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.28% 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.42% Total : 51.52% |
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