SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | BATE Borisov | 22 | 21 | 41 |
| 5 | Isloch | 21 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 21 | 0 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Dinamo Brest | 20 | -11 | 18 |
| 15 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 21 | -20 | 13 |
| 16 | Dnepr Mogilev | 21 | -33 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Isloch | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
49.44% ( -0.78) | 26.25% ( -0.07) | 24.31% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 47.51% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.96% ( 0.91) | 56.05% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( 0.73) | 77.13% ( -0.73) |
| Isloch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( 0.04) | 22.73% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.6% ( 0.05) | 56.4% ( -0.05) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.48% ( 1.31) | 38.52% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.73% ( 1.22) | 75.27% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Isloch | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.32)2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 49.44% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.31% |
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