SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Vitebsk |
33.48% ( -0.37) | 27.99% ( -0.07) | 38.53% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 47.6% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.61% ( 0.22) | 58.39% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21% ( 0.17) | 79% ( -0.17) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.41% ( -0.13) | 32.58% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.88% ( -0.15) | 69.12% ( 0.15) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% ( 0.37) | 29.39% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.62% ( 0.45) | 65.38% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Vitebsk |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.47% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.52% |
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