Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.