SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
54.43% ( 0.05) | 22.68% ( 0) | 22.89% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.2% ( -0.07) | 42.8% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% ( -0.06) | 65.2% ( 0.07) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.34% ( -0.01) | 15.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.31% ( -0.01) | 44.69% ( 0.02) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( -0.08) | 32.48% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( -0.09) | 69.01% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.08% 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.05% 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 54.43% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 22.89% |
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