SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 52.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Anderlecht |
52.53% ( -0.17) | 23.91% ( -0) | 23.55% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.5% ( 0.17) | 47.49% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.29% ( 0.16) | 69.7% ( -0.17) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% ( -0) | 18.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.06% | 48.94% ( -0) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.51% ( 0.25) | 34.48% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.8% ( 0.27) | 71.2% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 52.53% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.91% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 23.55% |
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