SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beerschot Wilrijk | Draw | Union SG |
19.72% ( 0.07) | 23.01% ( 0.03) | 57.27% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.89% ( -0.03) | 48.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.73% ( -0.03) | 70.27% ( 0.03) |
| Beerschot Wilrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.43% ( 0.06) | 38.57% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.69% ( 0.06) | 75.31% ( -0.06) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( -0.05) | 16.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.68% ( -0.08) | 46.32% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beerschot Wilrijk | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 19.72% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 0-2 @ 10.32% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-5 @ 1% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 57.27% |
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