Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Charleroi | Draw | Leuven |
46.2% ( -0.04) | 25.73% ( -0.01) | 28.07% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.12% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.45% ( 0.06) | 51.55% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.65% ( 0.05) | 73.35% ( -0.05) |
Charleroi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% ( 0) | 22.29% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.25% ( 0.01) | 55.75% ( -0.01) |
Leuven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.07% ( 0.07) | 32.93% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.49% ( 0.08) | 69.51% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Charleroi | Draw | Leuven |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.19% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.07% |
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