SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Charleroi |
55.14% ( 0.04) | 22.75% ( -0.03) | 22.12% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.01% ( 0.12) | 43.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% ( 0.11) | 66.38% ( -0.11) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( 0.05) | 15.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.98% ( 0.1) | 45.02% ( -0.09) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( 0.06) | 33.85% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.48% ( 0.07) | 70.52% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 55.14% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.21% Total : 22.12% |
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