Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
Result | ||
Charleroi | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
38.33% ( 0.34) | 26.4% ( 0.09) | 35.28% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 52.82% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.07% ( -0.43) | 51.93% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.32% ( -0.37) | 73.68% ( 0.37) |
Charleroi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.57% ( -0.01) | 26.43% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.4% ( -0.01) | 61.6% ( 0.01) |
Cercle Brugge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% ( -0.47) | 28.2% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.09% ( -0.6) | 63.9% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Charleroi | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.28% |
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