SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Genk |
36.98% ( 0.02) | 25.07% ( 0.13) | 37.95% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( -0.58) | 45.98% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( -0.55) | 68.29% ( 0.55) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% ( -0.25) | 24.42% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.15% ( -0.36) | 58.85% ( 0.36) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( -0.34) | 23.91% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.88% ( -0.49) | 58.12% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 36.98% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.95% |
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