SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Leuven |
51.9% ( 0.04) | 22.75% ( -0) | 25.36% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.63% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.43% ( -0.05) | 40.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.05% ( -0.05) | 62.95% ( 0.05) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( -0) | 15.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% ( -0.01) | 44.83% ( 0.01) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( -0.06) | 29.24% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( -0.07) | 65.19% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.76% 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.66% Total : 51.9% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 25.36% |
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