SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Standard Liege |
39.36% ( -0.17) | 23.89% ( -0.01) | 36.75% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 61.85% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.65% ( 0.06) | 40.35% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.27% ( 0.06) | 62.73% ( -0.06) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% ( -0.06) | 20.71% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.68% ( -0.09) | 53.32% ( 0.08) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% ( 0.12) | 21.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.7% ( 0.18) | 55.3% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.36% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.75% |
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