Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Leuven	Draw	Gent
25.4% ( 0.22)	21.85% ( -0.03)	52.75% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 62.92% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.74% (

0.38)

36.27% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.61% (

0.41)

58.39% (

-0.41)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.1% (

0.36)

26.9% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.78% (

0.48)

62.22% (

-0.47)

Gent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.07% (

0.08)

13.93% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.61% (

0.14)

41.39% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Leuven 25.4%

Gent 52.75%

Draw 21.85%

Leuven	Draw	Gent
2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.4%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.85%	1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.71% Total : 52.75%