SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Gent |
25.4% ( 0.22) | 21.85% ( -0.03) | 52.75% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 62.92% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.74% ( 0.38) | 36.27% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.61% ( 0.41) | 58.39% ( -0.41) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( 0.36) | 26.9% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% ( 0.48) | 62.22% ( -0.47) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.07% ( 0.08) | 13.93% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.61% ( 0.14) | 41.39% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.4% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.71% Total : 52.75% |
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