SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Leuven |
43.03% ( -0.12) | 24.33% ( 0.07) | 32.64% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.24% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.66% ( -0.32) | 43.34% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.26% ( -0.31) | 65.73% ( 0.31) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -0.19) | 20.29% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% ( -0.3) | 52.65% ( 0.29) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( -0.13) | 25.67% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.42% ( -0.17) | 60.57% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.64% |
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