SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for KV Oostende had a probability of 11.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a KV Oostende win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | KV Oostende |
70.74% ( -0.1) | 17.66% ( 0.09) | 11.59% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.61% ( -0.35) | 40.39% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.23% ( -0.36) | 62.77% ( 0.36) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.8% ( -0.12) | 10.19% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.53% ( -0.27) | 33.47% ( 0.27) |
| KV Oostende Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.24% ( -0.2) | 44.76% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.26% ( -0.16) | 80.74% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | KV Oostende |
| 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.36% Total : 70.73% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 17.66% | 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.37% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.15% Total : 11.59% |
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