SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Union Berlin |
42.58% ( -0.08) | 22.77% ( -0.01) | 34.65% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 65.71% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.84% ( 0.08) | 35.16% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.83% ( 0.09) | 57.17% ( -0.09) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( 0) | 17.13% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.65% | 47.35% ( -0) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( 0.09) | 20.7% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.69% ( 0.13) | 53.31% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 34.65% |
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