Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Besiktas in this match.