Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 78.38%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 8.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Charleroi
78.38% ( 1.32)	13.41% ( -0.66)	8.21% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 52.42% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.96% (

30.04% (

-1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.76% (

1.2)

51.23% (

-1.2)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.9% (

0.46)

6.1% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.83% (

1.26)

23.17% (

-1.27)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.83% (

-0.72)

44.17% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.74% (

-0.59)

80.26% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Genk 78.37%

Charleroi 8.21%

Draw 13.41%

Genk	Draw	Charleroi
2-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.17) 6-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.27% Total : 78.37%	1-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.03% Total : 13.41%	1-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 8.21%