SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Union SG |
37.62% ( -0.03) | 26.99% ( 0.01) | 35.38% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.9% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% ( -0.05) | 54.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.25% ( -0.04) | 75.75% ( 0.04) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( -0.04) | 27.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.38% ( -0.05) | 63.62% ( 0.05) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.01) | 29.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( -0.01) | 65.3% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.62% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.38% |
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