SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Union SG |
27.17% ( -0.19) | 26.1% ( -0.08) | 46.72% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.45% ( 0.19) | 53.55% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.94% ( 0.16) | 75.06% ( -0.16) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.3% ( -0.05) | 34.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.57% ( -0.05) | 71.42% ( 0.05) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( 0.2) | 22.9% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( 0.3) | 56.66% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 27.18% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.72% |
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