SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Club Brugge | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Leuven | 7 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Union SG | 7 | 0 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Gent | 7 | 2 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Charleroi |
33.57% ( -0.96) | 24.73% ( -0.2) | 41.7% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( 0.7) | 44.91% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% ( 0.67) | 67.27% ( -0.68) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( -0.23) | 25.86% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.16% ( -0.32) | 60.84% ( 0.31) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( 0.86) | 21.56% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.35% ( 1.31) | 54.65% ( -1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.57% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.7% |
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