SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
56.15% ( -0.12) | 22.33% ( 0.08) | 21.51% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.14% ( -0.29) | 42.86% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.74% ( -0.29) | 65.26% ( 0.29) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% ( -0.14) | 15.1% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.35% ( -0.27) | 43.65% ( 0.26) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.23% ( -0.13) | 33.76% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.57% ( -0.14) | 70.43% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.15% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 21.51% |
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