SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Dender had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dender | Draw | Leuven |
32.93% ( 1.05) | 25.27% ( 0.34) | 41.79% ( -1.38) |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% ( -1.16) | 47.53% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( -1.08) | 69.74% ( 1.08) |
| Dender Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( 0.1) | 27.52% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( 0.13) | 63.03% ( -0.13) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( -1.15) | 22.65% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.71% ( -1.74) | 56.28% ( 1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dender | Draw | Leuven |
| 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.93% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.79% |
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