SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dender win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dender win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dender | Draw | Mechelen |
37.36% ( 0.01) | 25.76% ( -0.01) | 36.89% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.92% ( 0.07) | 49.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( 0.06) | 71.16% ( -0.06) |
| Dender Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( 0.04) | 25.65% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% ( 0.05) | 60.55% ( -0.05) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0.03) | 25.91% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( 0.05) | 60.9% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dender | Draw | Mechelen |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.89% |
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