Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
Result | ||
Gent | Draw | Leuven |
54.72% ( -0.27) | 21.61% ( 0.13) | 23.66% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 61.72% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.05% ( -0.47) | 36.94% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.87% ( -0.51) | 59.13% ( 0.51) |
Gent Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% ( -0.24) | 13.55% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.37% ( -0.48) | 40.63% ( 0.47) |
Leuven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.39% ( -0.15) | 28.6% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.59% ( -0.19) | 64.4% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Gent | Draw | Leuven |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 54.72% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 23.66% |
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