SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Leuven |
43.52% ( 0.05) | 23.14% ( -0.01) | 33.33% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.84% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.56% ( 0) | 37.43% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.34% ( 0) | 59.66% ( -0) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( 0.02) | 17.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.7% ( 0.04) | 48.3% ( -0.04) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( -0.02) | 22.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( -0.04) | 56% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 3.96% Total : 43.52% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 33.33% |
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