SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 10.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Kortrijk |
73.13% ( -0.19) | 16.53% ( 0.12) | 10.34% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.19% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.38% ( -0.41) | 38.62% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.08% ( -0.43) | 60.92% ( 0.43) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.84% ( -0.14) | 9.16% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.94% ( -0.35) | 31.06% ( 0.35) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.15% ( -0.15) | 45.85% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.39% ( -0.12) | 81.6% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.96% Total : 73.12% | 1-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 16.53% | 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.34% |
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