SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 16.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 2-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kortrijk | Draw | Genk |
16.68% ( 0.26) | 19.97% ( 0.1) | 63.35% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 55.57% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.45% ( 0.03) | 39.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.11% ( 0.03) | 61.89% ( -0.03) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( 0.33) | 36.93% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.28% ( 0.33) | 73.72% ( -0.33) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.12% ( -0.09) | 11.88% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.82% ( -0.19) | 37.18% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kortrijk | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 16.68% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.97% | 0-2 @ 9.96% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 7.07% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 7.04% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.77% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.92% Total : 63.35% |
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