Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 23.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
Result | ||
Kortrijk | Draw | Mechelen |
23.14% ( -0.28) | 22.26% ( -0.03) | 54.6% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 58.72% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.4% ( -0.18) | 40.6% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.02% ( -0.19) | 62.98% ( 0.18) |
Kortrijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% ( -0.34) | 31.05% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% ( -0.4) | 67.36% ( 0.39) |
Mechelen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% ( 0.04) | 14.83% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.86% ( 0.07) | 43.14% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Kortrijk | Draw | Mechelen |
2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 23.14% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.6% |
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