SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Royal Antwerp | 39 | 9 | 64 |
| 6 | Genk | 40 | 21 | 62 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 40 | 7 | 61 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Genk | 40 | 21 | 62 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 40 | 7 | 61 |
| 8 | Mechelen | 39 | -3 | 56 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 13.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Charleroi |
69.59% ( 0.18) | 17.3% ( -0.15) | 13.11% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.46% ( 0.63) | 34.54% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.52% ( 0.71) | 56.48% ( -0.71) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.06% ( 0.2) | 8.93% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.49% ( 0.49) | 30.51% ( -0.5) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% ( 0.36) | 38.47% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.78% ( 0.34) | 75.22% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 69.58% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.3% | 1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 13.11% |
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