Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 79.45%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 7.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for a RFC Seraing win it was 1-2 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
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