Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
