Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
