SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Leuven | 33 | -16 | 38 |
| 12 | Kortrijk | 34 | -5 | 37 |
| 13 | KV Oostende | 34 | -27 | 37 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club Brugge | 39 | 41 | 85 |
| 2 | Union SG | 39 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Gent | 39 | 31 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kortrijk | Draw | Union SG |
| 25.09% | 23.05% | 51.86% |
| Both teams to score 58.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% | 42.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.37% | 64.64% |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.67% | 30.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.48% | 66.52% |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% | 16.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.05% | 45.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kortrijk | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 6.39% 1-0 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.09% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-1 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-3 @ 5.86% 0-3 @ 4.91% 2-3 @ 3.49% 1-4 @ 2.65% 0-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.86% |
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