Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 24.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.
