SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
65.85% ( -0.22) | 18.94% ( -0.1) | 15.21% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( 1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.37% ( 1.19) | 37.63% ( -1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.13% ( 1.27) | 59.86% ( -1.26) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.33% ( 0.28) | 10.66% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.47% ( 0.63) | 34.52% ( -0.63) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( 1.17) | 37.58% ( -1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.64% ( 1.13) | 74.35% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
| 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.41)3-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.59% Total : 65.84% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.94% | 1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.1% Total : 15.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Union SGUnion SG | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 44 |
| 2 | Anderlecht | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | GentGent | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 35 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 33 |
| 5 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 31 |
| 6 | Genk | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 31 |
| 7 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Sint-Truiden | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
| 9 | MechelenMechelen | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 | Standard Liege | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | RWD MolenbeekRWDM | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
| 13 | Westerlo | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | EupenEupen | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 15 |
| 15 | Leuven | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 13 |
| 16 | KortrijkKortrijk | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 42 | -30 | 10 |
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