SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Leuven |
67.39% ( -0.03) | 17.88% ( 0.11) | 14.72% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.47% ( -0.73) | 33.53% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.67% ( -0.84) | 55.33% ( 0.84) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.83% ( -0.2) | 9.17% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.93% ( -0.49) | 31.07% ( 0.49) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.42% ( -0.57) | 35.58% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.65% ( -0.6) | 72.35% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.81% Total : 67.39% | 1-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.88% | 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 14.72% |
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