SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-0 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Union SG |
24.62% ( 0.37) | 23.98% ( 0.09) | 51.39% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 54.67% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( -0.04) | 46.77% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( -0.04) | 69.03% ( 0.04) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% ( 0.3) | 33.16% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.23% ( 0.33) | 69.76% ( -0.33) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% ( -0.19) | 18.2% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.78% ( -0.33) | 49.22% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.62% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.39% |
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