SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 41%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Mechelen |
35.28% ( 1.13) | 23.71% ( 0.29) | 41% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 62.28% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.3% ( -1.18) | 39.7% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.95% ( -1.24) | 62.05% ( 1.24) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( 0.06) | 22.46% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( 0.09) | 56% ( -0.09) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( -1.11) | 19.67% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% ( -1.83) | 51.66% ( 1.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.28% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.19% Total : 41.01% |
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