SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sint-Truiden in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Mechelen |
40.75% ( 0.01) | 24.72% ( 0) | 34.53% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( -0.01) | 44.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.99% ( -0.01) | 67.01% ( 0.01) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( -0) | 21.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.84% ( -0) | 55.16% ( -0) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( -0.01) | 25.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.1% ( -0.02) | 59.9% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 40.75% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.53% |
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