SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Anderlecht | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
57.19% ( 0.24) | 21.67% ( 0.01) | 21.14% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.93% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.65% ( -0.39) | 40.35% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.28% ( -0.4) | 62.72% ( 0.4) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.08% ( -0.05) | 13.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.62% ( -0.11) | 41.37% ( 0.11) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( -0.45) | 32.7% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.74% ( -0.51) | 69.25% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anderlecht | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 57.19% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 21.14% |
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