SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Mechelen |
39.14% ( 0.09) | 26.49% ( 0.01) | 34.37% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( -0.04) | 52.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -0.04) | 74.1% ( 0.04) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( 0.03) | 26.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.7% ( 0.04) | 61.29% ( -0.03) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( -0.08) | 29% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.1% ( -0.1) | 64.9% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Mechelen |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.14% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.37% |
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