SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Mechelen |
53.66% ( -0.1) | 22.73% ( 0.01) | 23.6% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.65% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.73% ( 0.03) | 42.27% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.32% ( 0.03) | 64.67% ( -0.04) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( -0.02) | 15.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% ( -0.04) | 44.82% ( 0.03) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% ( 0.09) | 31.58% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.02% ( 0.1) | 67.98% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 23.6% |
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