SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Mechelen |
60.35% ( 0.23) | 21.24% ( 0.02) | 18.41% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.72% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( -0.52) | 42.38% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( -0.52) | 64.78% ( 0.52) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.38% ( -0.09) | 13.62% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.23% ( -0.19) | 40.77% ( 0.19) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( -0.59) | 36.65% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.55% ( -0.6) | 73.44% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 60.35% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.52% Total : 18.41% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
