SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Kortrijk |
59.35% ( -0.29) | 20.52% ( 0.06) | 20.13% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.44% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.69% ( 0.08) | 36.31% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.57% ( 0.09) | 58.43% ( -0.08) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.01% ( -0.05) | 11.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.58% ( -0.12) | 37.42% ( 0.12) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( 0.27) | 31.32% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( 0.31) | 67.68% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 59.35% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.52% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 20.13% |
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