SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.47%) and 0-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Genk |
22.56% ( -0.54) | 20.68% ( -0.21) | 56.75% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 63.69% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.26% ( 0.38) | 33.74% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.43% ( 0.43) | 55.56% ( -0.44) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.22) | 27.7% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% ( -0.28) | 63.26% ( 0.28) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( 0.33) | 11.9% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.77% ( 0.71) | 37.23% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.57% Total : 22.56% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.68% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.8% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.62% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 56.75% |
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