Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.47%) and 0-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Mechelen	Draw	Genk
22.56% ( -0.54)	20.68% ( -0.21)	56.75% ( 0.75)

Both teams to score 63.69% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.26% (

0.38)

33.74% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.43% (

0.43)

55.56% (

-0.44)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

-0.22)

27.7% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

-0.28)

63.26% (

0.28)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.1% (

0.33)

11.9% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.77% (

0.71)

37.23% (

-0.71)

Score Analysis

Mechelen 22.56%

Genk 56.75%

Draw 20.68%

Mechelen	Draw	Genk
2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.57% Total : 22.56%	1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.68%	1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.8% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.62% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 56.75%