SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 73.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 10.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Mechelen |
73.38% ( -0.07) | 16.22% ( 0.04) | 10.4% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.63% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.1% ( -0.1) | 36.89% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.93% ( -0.11) | 59.07% ( 0.1) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.32% ( -0.04) | 8.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.12% ( -0.1) | 29.88% ( 0.09) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.43% ( -0.01) | 44.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.42% ( -0.01) | 80.58% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 73.37% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 16.22% | 0-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.4% |
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